New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, July 21, 2024

Place: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sport Florida

The New York Mets (49-46) go to Depot Park on Sunday, where they will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (33-63). The pitchers taking the mound are Luis Severino and Trevor Rogers.

As a team, the Mets have collected 176 doubles and have knocked out 121 baseballs. New York has a slugging percentage of .420 and has been thrown out on strikes 769 times while drawing 306 walks. As a team, the New York Mets are averaging 4.9 runs per gram, which ranks 6th in the league. They have 447 RBI’s and 818 hits so far this season while maintaining a .250 average at the plate. They have collected 465 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322.

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The Mets have a team earned run average of 4.23 on the year (22nd in MLB), and have struck out 829 batters. Mets pitchers have allowed 104 long balls and 452 total runs (22nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 362 opponents, and their FIP stands at 4.28 as a team on the year. New York has allowed 754 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 401 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.29, and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Mets relievers have taken the mound with runners on base 105 times and have also made 115 appearances in high-leverage situations. The relievers have 64 holds for the year (4th in MLB). The Mets bullpen has a save percentage of 61.0% and has stepped to the mound in 105 save situations. They have 25 saves on the campaign and have missed 16 of their 41 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 139 runners so far this year and have crossed home plate on 35.3% of them. The Mets have sent 312 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Mets have converted 69.9 percent of balls hit into play into outs in 7,680 innings on the field, which ranks 15th in MLB. The New York Mets have 2,560 putouts this year, as well as 841 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is .982, which ranks 28th in baseball, and they have 84 double plays total.

Severino has 836 innings on the mound and has struck out 869 batters in his career. His ERA is 3.79 (352 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.187. He has allowed 741 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has 252 free passes. Severino (60-40 in his career) has earned a 3.73 FIP while facing 3,478 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Miami Marlins have an OBP of .284 and a team batting average of .234 on the campaign. They have struck out 798 batters (17th in the league) and have collected 760 hits. Miami has made 78 HRs on the year, along with 327 RBI’s. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .354 and are averaging 3.50 runs per outing (29th in the league). They have 133 two-baggers, while drawing 205 free bases and driving in 336 runs.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.365 and are the owners of a 4.20 FIP as a staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.30 (784 strikeouts against 326 bases on balls). They currently rank 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 836. They have given up 101 home runs and are allowing 5.16 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Miami pitching staff has allowed 488 runs on the campaign and comes in with a team ERA of 4.60 (435 earned runs allowed).

Miami has called upon bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 33 save opportunities and has come away with 16 saves. They rank 29th in the league with a 48.5% save rate and have sent 333 relief pitchers onto the field this campaign. Their relievers have entered 112 high-leverage situations, along with 101 occasions with runners on base. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited scoring rate of 35.7% from their 140 inherited runners. Through 73 save situations, the Marlins have earned 40 holds and 17 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have committed 67 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in professional baseball). The Marlins have 880 assists, 66 errors and 2,554 putouts on the campaign. In their 7,662 innings on the field, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (27th in the majors).

For his career, Rogers has allowed 375 hits and has 400 K’s in 381 innings pitched. Rogers (14-32 career record) owns a 4.27 earned run average while allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 181 ER’s while sporting a WHIP of 1.388 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and has faced 1,666 opponents during his professional baseball career.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Pick: Pick Miami

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